Michael Grabchak, Professor
Research Interests
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Tempered Stable Distributions
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Infinitely Divisible Processes
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Heavy Tails
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Quantitative Finance
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Probability and Statistics on Alphabets
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Estimation of Entropy and Related Information Theoretic Quantities
Scientific Software
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M. Grabchak and L. Cao (2023). SubTS: Positive Tempered Stable Distributions and Related Subordinators. Ver. 1.0, R Package.
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M. Grabchak and L. Cao (2017). SymTS: Symmetric Tempered Stable Distributions. Ver. 1.0, R Package. (Update: Version 1.0-2, 2023)
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L. Cao and M. Grabchak (2015). EntropyEstimation: Estimation of Entropy and Related Quantities. Ver. 1.2, R Package. (Update: Version 1.2.1, 2024).
Monographs
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M. Grabchak (2016). Tempered Stable Distributions: Stochastic Models for Multiscale Processes. Springer, Cham, Switzerland.
Edited Collections
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M. Grabchak, editor (2023). 50 Years of Journal of Applied Statistics: Extreme Value Theory and its Applications in Finance. Taylor and Francis, 15 articles.
Preprints
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M. Grabchak and X. Zhang (2024). On the small jumps of Levy processes and the multivariate Dickman distribution. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak and S. Saba (2024). On approximations of subordinators in L^p and the simulation of tempered stable distributions. Preprint.
Published Articles
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Y. Xia and M. Grabchak (2024). Pricing multi-asset options with tempered stable distributions. Financial Innovation, 10: Article 131.
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M. Grabchak and X. Zang (2024). Representation and simulation of multivariate Dickman distributions and Vervaat perpetuities. Statistics and Computing, 34(1): Article 28. Free Version. Preprint.
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J. Chang and M. Grabchak (2023). Necessary and sufficient conditions for the asymptotic normality of higher order Turing estimators. Bernoulli, 29(4):3369-3395.
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M. Grabchak (2023). How do we perform a paired t-test when we don't know how to pair? The American Statistician, 77(2):127-133.
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M. Grabchak and P. Sabino (2023). Efficient simulation of p-tempered alpha-stable OU processes. Statistics and Computing, 33(1): Article 4. Free Version. Preprint.
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E. Christou and M. Grabchak (2022). Risk estimation with composite quantile regression. Econometrics and Statistics, DOI 10.1016/j.ecosta.2022.04.004.
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M. Grabchak and I.M. Sonin (2022). A zero-one law for Markov chains. Stochastics, 94(5):680-697. Preprint.
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Y. Xia and M. Grabchak (2022). Estimation and simulation for multivariate tempered stable distributions. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 92(3):451-475.
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M. Grabchak (2022). Discrete tempered stable distributions. Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, 24(3):1877-1890. Free Version.
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E. Christou and M. Grabchak (2022). Estimation of expected shortfall using quantile regression: A
comparison study. Computational Economics, 60(2):725-753. Free Version.
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M. Grabchak, S.A. Molchanov, and V. Panov (2022). Around the infinite divisibility of the Dickman distribution and related topics. Zapiski Nauchnykh Seminarov POMI, 115:91-120. Alternate site.
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M. Grabchak and E. Christou (2021). A note on calculating expected shortfall for discrete time
stochastic volatility models. Financial Innovation, 7: Article 43.
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M. Grabchak (2021). An exact method for simulating rapidly decreasing tempered stable distributions. Statistics and Probability Letters, 170: Article 109015. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak (2021). On the transition laws of p-tempered alpha-stable OU-processes. Computational Statistics, 36(2):1415-1436. Preprint. Free Version.
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A. Mahzarnia, M. Grabchak, and J. Jiang (2021). Estimation of the minimum probability of a multinomial distribution. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice, 15(2): Article 24. Free Version.
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M. Grabchak (2020). On the simulation of general tempered stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, 90(6):1057-1081. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak, M. Kelbert, and Q. Paris (2020). On the occupancy problem for a regime switching model. Journal of Applied Probability, 57(1):53-77. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak (2019). Rejection sampling for tempered Levy processes. Statistics and Computing, 29(3):549-558. Preprint, Free Version.
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E. Christou and M. Grabchak (2019). Estimation of value-at-risk using single index quantile regression. Journal of Applied Statistics, 46(13):2418-2433.
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M. Grabchak and S.A. Molchanov (2019). Limit Theorems for Random Exponentials: The Bounded
Support Case. Theory of Probability and Its Applications, 63(4):634-647. (Also printed in Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya 63(4):779-794. It can be found here.)
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M. Grabchak and S.A. Molchanov (2019). The alloy model: Phase transitions and diagrams for a random energy model with mixtures. Markov Processes and Related Fields, 25(4):591-613. Preprint.
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G. Decrouez, M. Grabchak, and Q. Paris (2018). Finite Sample Properties of the Mean Occupancy Counts and Probabilities. Bernoulli, 24(3):1910-1941. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak (2018). Domains of Attraction for Positive and Discrete Tempered Stable Distributions. Journal of Applied Probability, 55(1):30-42. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak and Z. Zhang (2018). Asymptotic Normality for Plug-in Estimators of Diversity Indices on Countable Alphabet.
Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 30(3):774-795.
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C. Chen, M. Grabchak, A. Stewart, J. Zhang, and Z. Zhang (2018). Normal Laws for Two Entropy Estimators on Infinite Alphabets. Entropy, 20(5), 371.
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M. Grabchak, L. Cao, and Z. Zhang (2018). Authorship Attribution Using Diversity Profiles. Journal of Quantitative Linguistics, 25(2):142-155.
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M. Grabchak (2018). A Random Variable That Does Not Belong to a Domain of Attraction, but its Absolute Value Does. The Mathematical Scientist , 43(1):56-59.
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M. Grabchak and Z. Zhang (2017). Asymptotic Properties of Turing's Formula in Relative Error. Machine Learning, 106(11):1771-1785. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak, E. Marcon, G. Lang, and Z. Zhang (2017). The Generalized Simpson's Entropy is a Measure of Biodiversity. PLoS ONE, 12(3):e0173305.doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0173305. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak (2017). A Simple Condition for the Multivariate CLT and the Attraction to the Gaussian of Levy Processes at Long and Short Times. Communications in Statistics -- Theory and Methods, 46(1):446-456. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak and V. Cosme (2017). On The Performance of Turing's Formula: A Simulation Study. Communications in Statistics -- Simulation and Computation, 46(6):4199-4209.
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Z. Zhang and M. Grabchak (2016). Entropic Representation and Estimation of Diversity Indices. Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, 28(3):563--575. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak (2016). On the Consistency of the MLE for Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Other Selfdecomposable Processes. Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes, 19(1):29-50.
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M. Grabchak (2015). Inversions of Levy Measures and the Relation Between Long and Short Time Behavior of Levy Processes. Journal of Theoretical Probability, 28(1):184-197. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak (2015). Three Upsilon Transforms Related to Tempered Stable Distributions. Electronic Communications in Probability, 20(82):1-10. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak and S. Molchanov (2015). Limit Theorems and Phase Transitions for Two Models of Summation of iid Random Variables With a Parameter. Theory of Probability and Its Applications, 59(2):222-243. (Also printed in Teoriya Veroyatnostei i ee Primeneniya 59(2):340-364. It can be found here.)
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Z. Zhang and M. Grabchak (2014). Nonparametric Estimation of Kullback-Leibler Divergence. Neural Computation, 26(11), 2570-2593.
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M. Grabchak (2014). Does Value-at-Risk Encourage Diversification When Losses Follow Tempered Stable or More General Levy Processes? Annals of Finance, 10(4):553-568.
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M. Grabchak, Z. Zhang, and D. T. Zhang (2013). Authorship Attribution Using Entropy. Journal of Quantitative Linguistics, 20(4):301-313.
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Z. Zhang and M. Grabchak (2013). Bias Adjustment for a Nonparametric Entropy Estimator. Entropy, 15(6), 1999-2011.
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M. Grabchak (2012). On a New Class of Tempered Stable Distributions: Moments and Regular Variation. Journal of Applied Probability, 49(4):1015-1035. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak and G. Samorodnitsky (2010). Do Financial Returns Have Finite of Infinite Variance? A Paradox and an Explanation. Quantitative Finance, 10(8):883-893. Preprint.
Conference and Other Publications
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L. Cao and M. Grabchak (2023). Experience report on using WeBWorK in teaching discrete mathematics. SIGCSE 2023: Proceedings of the 54th ACM Technical Symposium on Computer Science Education V.1, pg. 861-867.
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W. Misenheimer and M. Grabchak (2021). A Simple Method for Predicting Winners of NFL Football Games. The Pi-Mu-Epsilon Journal, 15(4):205-214.
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L. Cao and M. Grabchak (2019). Interactive Preparatory Work in a Flipped Programming Course. CompEd '19: Proceedings of the ACM Conference on Global Computing Education, pg. 229-235.
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L. Cao and M. Grabchak (2014). Smoothly Truncated Levy Walks: Toward a Realistic Mobility Model. IPCCC '14: Proceedings of the 33rd International Performance Computing and Communications Conference. Preprint.
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M. Grabchak and S. Molchanov (2013). Limit Theorems and Phase Transitions for Two Models of Summation of iid Random Variables Depending on Parameters (extended abstract). Doklady Mathematics, 88(1):431-434. (Russian translation available in Doklady Akademii Nauk, 451(4), 374-377. It can be found here.)
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M. Grabchak, N. Bhamidipati, R. Bhatt, and D. Garg (2011). Adaptive Policies for Selecting Groupon Style Chunked Reward Ads in a Stochastic Knapsack Framework. WWW '11: Proceedings of the 20th International Conference on World Wide Web, pg. 167-176. Preprint.
Technical Reports
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M. Grabchak (2012). Limit Theorems For Sequences of Tempered Stable and Related Distributions.
Special Invited Courses
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Advanced topics course entitled "Topics in Applied Probability: Tempered Stable Distributions, Ad Placement, and Turing's Formula." A 15-hour course, October 6-17, 2014, Higher School of Economics in Moscow, Russia. Organized by the Laboratory of Stochastic Analysis and its Applications
Conference Talks
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AMS Spring Southeastern Sectional Meeting, Atlanta, GA, USA, March 2023 (invited talk)
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SIAM Conference on Financial Mathematics and Engineering 2021, Philadelphia, PA, USA (online due to COVID-19), June 2021 (invited talk)
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Laboratory of Stochastic Analysis and its Applications Autumn Meeting--2020, Moscow, Russia (online due to COVID-19), October 2020 (invited talk)
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40th Conference on Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Gothenburg, Sweden, June 2018
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Laboratory of Stochastic Analysis and its Applications Winter Meeting--2017, Moscow, Russia, December 2017 (invited talk)
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10th Extreme Value Analysis Conference, Delft, Netherlands, July 2017
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Heavy Tails and Long Range Dependence: A Conference in honor of Gennady Samorodnitsky's 60th birthday, Paris, France, June 2017 (invited talk)
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International Workshop on Applied Probability (IWAP) 2016, Toronto, Canada, March 2016 (invited talk)
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XVII April International Academic Conference on Economic and Social Development, Moscow, Russia, April 2016 (invited talk)
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The 18th INFORMS Applied Probability Society Conference, Istanbul, Turkey, July 2015 (invited talk)
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AMS Joint Mathematics Meeting, San Antonio, TX, January 2015 (invited talk)
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"Stochastics, Statistics, Financial Mathematics," a conference in honor of Professor Albert Shiryaev's
80th anniversary, Moscow, Russia, October 2014 (invited talk)
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AMS Southeastern Spring Sectional Meeting, Knoxville, TN, March 2014 (invited talk)
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AMS Joint Mathematics Meeting, Baltimore, MD, January 2014 (invited talk)
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The 17th INFORMS Applied Probability Society Conference, San Jose, Costa Rica, July 2013 (invited talk)
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8th World Congress on Probability and Statistics, Istanbul, Turkey, July 2012
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Risk Analysis in Economics and Finance Conference, CIMAT, University of Guanajuato, February 2011
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10th International Vilnius Conference on Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics, June 2010 (Invited Talk)
Colloquium Talks
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Spring Statistics Seminar Series, Mississippi State University, March 2023
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Probability and Stochastic Processes Seminar, University of Tennessee Knoxville, September 2021
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United Seminar of the Department of Probability, Lomonosov Moscow State University (online due to COVID-19), April 2021
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Biodiversity Informatics Global Webinar, September 2017
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Mathematical Methods in Finance Seminar, Instituto Nacional de Matematica Pura e Aplicada (IMPA), August 2015
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Probability Seminar, Duke University, March 2013
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Virginia Military Institute (VMI), October 2012
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Bangalore Probability Seminar, Indian Institute of Science, July 2012
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Indian Statistical Institute, Delhi, June 2012
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Risk Management Seminar, Belk Business School, UNC Charlotte, February 2012
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Departmental Colloquium, Department of Mathematics and Statistics at American University, October 2011
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Bangalore Probability Seminar, Indian Institute of Science, July 2010
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Department of Biostatistics, University of Buffalo, March 2010
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Department of Mathematical Science, University of Copenhagen, May 2009
Talks for Undergraduates
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Fayetteville State University, March 2012, Ad.
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Induction ceremony for UNCC's branch of Pi-Mu-Epsilon, UNC Charlotte, February 2012